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Proof is in the Pudding

It is one thing to talk about market forecasting, and another to demonstrate it publicly. But that is exactly what I have done for many years now.

For example, on March 9th of 2003 I made a public forecast about the Cotton market. This forecast was made within this Membership as well as on a number of public trading forums and newsgroup. This forecast was made based on one of my powerful proprietary forecasting programs...Ceppro. Here is the original text of that forecast on 3/9/03.

The following is a sectional cutout of the CEPPro program's Cycle Grid display. Today is March 9th, 2003. The CEPPro program is indicating that week of April 25th, 2003 has a very HIGH probability of producing a weekly swing turn. Allow a margin of error of one weekly price bar. Although this is a forecast made way in advance, there are other steps that a trader should take to get early indication that the weekly turn has indeed started to form, when the time comes. Within our membership, we have such procedures that incorporate using daily cycle turns as forecasted by our Fdates program (along with CEPPro). However, we place this weekly forecast here as possibly another example of the power of real Cycle Analysis.

On May 5th, 2003 we looked back at this original forecast so as to report on it.  This is what we had to report then.

CONCLUSION POSTED TODAY... 5/5/2003

Today is May 5th, 2003. Enough time has now elapsed so that you can see the result of the forecast that has been sitting here on this website for all to see since March 9th, 2003.

For the greatest affect, of course, you would have had to have visited this website from March 9th to around April 25th and viewed the original March 9th forecast found on the previous page. Nothing is more impressive than seeing it first BEFORE the fact and the result now AFTER the fact. In any event, here is the result of that forecast.

From: ProfitMaxTrading.com (profit@profitmaxtrading.com)
Subject: Weekly Cotton Cycle Turn
View: Complete Thread
Date: 2003-03-09 21:12:16 PST Major/Minor.


The indication is very strong that a weekly swing turn (change of trend) is likely to form around week 4/25. This is to be viewed using a weekly price chart (each weekly price bar represents a trading week). This is because the calculation was performed on WEEKLY price data bars, not daily. To see the weekly cycle turn date results directly off the CEPPro program that calculated it, click on the link provided below.

<http://fdates.com/ceppro.htm>

It would be advisable to print this out and place somewhere to remind you come the end of April. The last time I produced a forecast such as this one, but on Silver, most forgot about it when the time arrived except one person, Gunter K. That was the Silver forecast, where weeks in advance I warned this and other forums that the CEPPro program showed a high probability for a daily cycle turn to occur around 2/6. Take a look at your daily chart of Silver and you'll see that a major top occurred on 2/5. This could happen also with Cotton, as CEPPro does a remarkable job of forecasting turns. It could turn out to be a nice option trade if so desired.

Disclaimer: This is just my opinion and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. TRADING IS RISKY. TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK.

Cheers!

Rick J. Ratchford
ProfitMax Trading, Inc.
http://profitmaxtrading.com

The Pudding Continues to Flow!

It would be impossible to put all the forecasts made over the years since this Membership started on this page. However, posting another forecast that was made in advance before the public here should help you see how powerful my applications really are.

Prior to March 11, 2003, I made a forecast about the SP500 major weekly bottom. Even at the time of this writing that major bottom continues to hold. To save space, simply click on the link below to read about this public forecast.

http://fdates.com/forecasting1.htm

All the forecasts in the world, no matter how amazing they may be, has nothing to do with your personal trading. The only way to determine whether knowing turns in advance will work for you is to take it for a trial run.

To help you see for yourself the power of our Fdates, we have put together a Trial Membership plan that lets you join our group and receive all the benefits at a fraction of our regular fees. You will find the Trial Membership plan listed with our other plans by selecting the Available Plans menu at the top of this page.

For more forecasting examples, select the links below.

Live Cattle 12/2 Forecast

Intraday Example

You have noted some of my weekly and daily forecasting examples. Oh, there is so much more! I could fill volumes of these forecasts here each week. But the point is to show a few examples, not get too carried away.

Although the reports we put out provide the dates when to expect tops and bottoms on Daily as well as Weekly price charts, I also like to show off with some Intraday forecasting from time to time. Here are some Intraday examples that have been posted on our Trading Discussion Forum. This first one was also posted at the Support and Resistance forum as of today.

At the time I posted this the SP500 was trading around 1116. I posted that there was good support at 1111.25 in the Emini. About two hours later price made a low at 1111.50 (just one tick higher).

That was simply a demonstration on PRICE using various techniques that I often like to teach to the Membership and found in my publications. But how about TIME for which I'm better known for accurate forecasting? How about this demonstration?

These turns were called in advance on our forum. Again this isn't something we normally provide. I simply wanted to share some results I calculated with the group in demonstrating that one can forecast turns at any time frame.

To clarify the examples above, these were turn forecasts as based on a 5 minute price chart. Allowing for one price bar margin of error.

Additional Public Forecasts

And the result...

 

MEMBERS FORUM POSTINGS

At various times I will post a series of messages forecasting what I believe a market is likely to do. The link below will take you to one such thread of messages where I forecasted each day's movement of Cocoa. It is one thing to forecast correctly one day, maybe two if you are really on, but a several days in a row? You be the judge of this yourself by clicking on the link below.

Cocoa - Day-to-Day